Trump’s fraud accusations make no sense. The suburbs, not the cities, are why he lost

President Donald Trump continues to carry on with his unfounded charade claiming the election was wide-scale fraud. At the heart of many of his campaign’s complaints is that the big cities in the Great Lakes (Rust Belt) battleground states, such as Detroit and Philadelphia, helped to “engineer” a certain outcome. […] Read more »

The dramatic shifts in the 2020 election, visualized

… Preliminary county-level results show how the average margins in both urban and suburban counties were friendlier to Biden than they had been to Hillary Clinton four years ago, even as rural votes shifted more to the right. That suburban shift was critical: It is estimated that nearly half of […] Read more »

How Biden won: Three key voter groups in 2020

Any election victory can be seen from a variety of angles — marginal gains here, voter flips there — but the story of Joe Biden’s 2020 win, and his narrow recapturing of the northern Democratic “blue wall” states, might be best explained by vote boosts with three groups: younger voters, […] Read more »

Georgia’s political shift – a tale of urban and suburban change

Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator David Perdue wanted to avoid a runoff. Justin Sullivan/Getty Images Jan Nijman, Georgia State University Over the past 36 years, the state of Georgia has voted for Republican presidential candidates in every cycle except 1992, when voters backed Bill Clinton. In the past 20 years, it […] Read more »

Why the GOP hold on Texas is loosening

The huge surge of early voting in Texas’ rapidly growing cities and inner suburbs likely marks the end of unchallenged Republican dominance in America’s second largest state — a seismic shift in the nation’s electoral landscape. Even if President Donald Trump retains enough rural strength to hold Texas in next […] Read more »

What Polls Say About the 2020 Race as Biden and Trump Square Off

… Chris Wallace, the Fox News host who will moderate the debate on Tuesday, has announced the six topics on which it will be focused: the Supreme Court, the coronavirus outbreak, the integrity of the election, the economy, “race and violence in our cities,” and the respective political records of […] Read more »