You’re going to hear about a lot of supposed lessons that can be applied to the 2020 US elections from the 2019 United Kingdom elections. Maybe you think Republican President Donald Trump has reason to smile after his friend, Conservative Prime Minister Boris Johnson, won a big mandate. Maybe you […] Read more »
Election results 2019: Opinion poll accuracy holds up
After several elections where the polls as a whole were not a good guide to the result, this time they got it right. … Many of the polling companies had individual polls that were close to the result. But first prize should probably go jointly to Opinium and Ipsos Mori, […] Read more »
UK Election 2019: Tories on course to win majority – exit poll
The Conservatives are set to win an overall majority of 86 in the general election, according to an exit poll for the BBC, ITV and Sky News. The survey taken at UK polling stations suggests the Tories will get 368 MPs – 50 more than at the 2017 election – […] Read more »
5 Things to Know Ahead of the UK Election
Britons head to the polls this Thursday to vote in the country’s third general election since 2015. In the leadup to the high-stakes election, the main political parties have been busily pushing their manifestos to the British public, hoping to swell the ranks of their MPs. The Labour Party is […] Read more »
Mocked Abroad and Assailed at Home, Trump Returns to Face Impeachment
When times turn tough, presidents can hop on Air Force One to escape the country for a while and stride purposefully across the world stage. But the world stage was not so friendly this week for President Trump, who landed back in Washington on Wednesday night to confront a grim […] Read more »
How do pollsters predict UK general election results?
FT data journalist John Burn-Murdoch explains how researchers such as YouGov use MRP, or multi-level regression post-stratification polling, as the best way of showing how big national polls translate at the local level – and to predict who will win the most seats. Financial Times Read more »