From missile strikes in the Middle East to tariff fights in Asia, the last few weeks have been a reminder of the outsized role the United States has on the world stage — militarily, culturally and economically. And outside U.S. borders, Donald Trump’s presidency is not getting high marks, according […] Read more »
The Right Frame: Did broadcasters show ‘systemic bias’ by focusing on seats?
Writing at LSE Blogs, Prof Pippa Norris (Harvard) and Prof Patrick Dunleavy (LSE) say the BBC coverage — based on the broadcasters’ exit poll — established “a dominant narrative…with no counter-notes of any kind”. The article’s central claim that vote share information only came after 5am is likely to be […] Read more »
The Exit Poll, BBC Election Night and systemic media bias
The main lines of British political culture over the next four and a half years were constituted by the election of 12 December, and especially by how the broadcasters, especially the BBC, represented the results overnight. … The centrepiece of election night programming across all broadcast channels was the single […] Read more »
Is the Big Shake-Up in Britain Coming to the U.S.?
Britain has been rocked by eight major electoral contests in the last nine years. Four general elections, two referendums on Scotland’s independence and European Union membership and two sets of European Parliament elections have pushed one of the world’s oldest and historically most stable democracies into a period of churn […] Read more »
The Performance of the Polls in the 2019 UK General Election
After being widely criticised for their performance in the 2015 and 2017 general elections, the polls have proven more accurate in the 2019 election than in any contest since 2005. As the table shows, on average the final polls underestimated the Conservative vote by just 1.4 points and overestimated Labour’s […] Read more »
Will UK provide light bulb moment for US Democrats?
For the most part American politics exists in its own bubble with its own preoccupations. But every now and then something that happens in a foreign country intrudes. And pokes its nose in. Big time. The 12 December 2019 UK General Election might be such a moment for the US […] Read more »