… In the event, the final 2015 election campaign polls from nine polling companies resulted in three giving Labour leads, three offering a dead heat and three suggesting Conservative leads – two registering one-point leads and the other a lead of three points – far below the eventual seven-point gap. […] Read more »
Terrorism Temporarily Turns Leftists Rightward
Presidential preference polls provide a clear indication of how American conservatives are reacting to the terrorist attacks in Paris and San Bernardino, California. They’ve basically doubled down on their America-first mindset, with large numbers endorsing candidates who express hostility toward outsiders such as immigrants and Muslims. OK, but what about […] Read more »
The Polls May Be Underestimating Trump’s Support
Donald Trump’s persistent lead in the GOP presidential-preference polls has been a great source of confusion for the chattering classes. But Trump is actually just the latest manifestation of a more global trend: Data suggests the appeal of anti-immigrant policies to working-class voters is much deeper than most American elites […] Read more »
UK: Sharp fall in support for air strikes within Syria
In just seven days, five million people have joined the ranks of those opposed to air strikes in Syria. But if Jeremy Corbyn is tempted to rejoice at this, he should beware. He is paying a heavy price for these gains, with support for Labour slipping and his own personal […] Read more »
British public beginning to regret opposition to 2013 Syria action
In 2013, as Britain prepared to go to war with President Assad’s forces in Syria – who had been accused of torturing, gassing and barrel bombing their own citizens – public opinion was at the heart of the forced de-escalation of British military involvement. Parliament was reconvened after YouGov research […] Read more »
Polling Matters: The U.S. presidential race, with Stan Greenberg
On this week’s episode of the PB / Polling Matters podcast Keiran discusses the 2016 US Presidential race with Democratic pollster and strategist Stan Greenberg. CONT. Polling Matters Read more »