British Prime Minister Theresa May’s ability to deliver a landslide majority in the June 8 election was in doubt on Tuesday after two more opinion polls showed the vote could be much tighter than previously thought. CONT. Costas Pitas & Andy Bruce, Reuters Read more »
Are UK pollsters headed for another embarrassing election?
Will Jennings, University of Southampton and Patrick Sturgis, University of Southampton Following the political surprises of 2015 and 2016, there has been much reflection and debate on the accuracy of the polls in the run-up to the impending snap-election of 2017. It is fair to say that, although perhaps somewhat […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Is Russia friend or foe? Voters say foe, think Trump says friend
By a 36-point margin, American voters consider Russia an enemy of the U.S. rather than an ally. In contrast, by a 53-point spread, most think President Trump sees it the other way around. CONT. Victoria Balara, Fox News Read more »
NATO’s Image Improves on Both Sides of Atlantic
In both North America and Europe, views of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) have generally improved over the past year. Today, roughly six-in-ten Americans hold a favorable opinion of the security alliance, up from just over half in 2016, according to a new Pew Research Center survey. Majority support […] Read more »
Conventional Wisdom May Be Contaminating Polls
Sunday’s French presidential election was the latest in a trend. The centrist candidate, Emmanuel Macron, won by a considerably wider margin than most observers predicted, with a 32-percentage-point landslide over Marine Le Pen, larger than the 24-point margin that the final polls showed. But the trend isn’t that center-left globalism […] Read more »
World Polling: Every other country surveyed would have voted for Clinton, except Russia
Pollfish did some polls around the world. We have not had time to model and post-stratify them, so these are just raw polling results. But, Pollfish did ask a few validation questions, demographics and local party identification, and the data is reasonably representative. Every other country surveyed would have voted […] Read more »