The 2017 election campaign has confounded expectations in many ways, none more so than Labour’s continuing surge in the opinion polls. From an average vote share of around 26% at the start of the campaign, they now stand at an average of 36% in the polls conducted over the past […] Read more »
UK general election: Last weekend of polls
The normal array of Saturday night polls has been published this evening – six in total. All of them still have the Conservatives in the lead but by a widely-varying degree. The gap over Labour ranges from just one point in Survation’s poll to 12 points according to ComRes. Clearly, […] Read more »
Are The U.K. Polls Skewed?
In April, when U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May called for a “snap” general election for June 8, polls showed her Conservatives with an average lead of 17 percentage points over Labour. … Recent surveys show Labour zooming up in the polls and Conservatives having declined somewhat (although some of Labour’s […] Read more »
UK election: The pollsters’ experimental election
… From the pollsters’ point of view this is an experimental election. We all got it wrong in 2015 and we are all trying different methods to get it right this year. … There are lots of differences between how different polling companies are doing their sums. Some poll online, […] Read more »
UK election: All changed, changed utterly
With just over a week to go until the general election, the campaign continues to take surprising twists and turns, not least the jaw-dropping projection of a hung parliament from YouGov for The Times. CONT. The Polling Observatory Read more »
UK poll tracker: How the parties compare
… The 2017 election could be almost a repeat of the 2015 result in terms of vote share but produce a very different outcome in terms of the number of MPs returned for each party. Clearly, though, people are interested in knowing how votes might translate into seats. So YouGov […] Read more »