… More than three years after Trump launched his presidential campaign by railing against Mexican “rapists” streaming over the border, Democratic hopes and Republican fears that the growing population of Latinos would give Democrats a permanent advantage have yet to materialize. Nationally, Latino voters favor a Democratic Congress over a […] Read more »
Senate races: GOP up in Texas, Tennessee; Dems up in Arizona, New Jersey
The battle for Senate control finds Democrats trying to mount upset challenges in a string of typically Republican states, and this round of Battleground Tracker polls shows them having at best mixed results so far. … By more than two to one, registered voters say national issues outweigh local ones, […] Read more »
Texas Democrats need a big turnout to win. Polls suggest they won’t get it.
It’s become an old cliché that elections “come down to turnout.” While that may be exaggerated in most places, it’s definitely not in Texas. Democrats need voters who don’t traditionally vote to cast a ballot this year in order to to win, and it’s not clear that they will in […] Read more »
Win or lose, Beto O’Rourke will help Texas Democrats
… A new Marist College poll shows Republican Sen. Ted Cruz with a 49% to 45% advantage over Democrat Rep. Beto O’Rourke (TX-16) in the Texas Senate race. This is the latest poll that gives Cruz a small, but clear advantage in the contest. … Why does the closeness of […] Read more »
Poll Hub: Illinois, Texas & Pennsylvania: Elections 2018
Illinois, Texas and Pennsylvania are the latest trio in our midterm election battleground state polls with NBC News. In this episode of Poll Hub we break down the numbers and assess the relevance of these states as we head into the thick of the election season. CONT. Marist Poll Read more »
The Quiet Reinvention of Ted Cruz
It’s hardly unusual for an incumbent politician to kick off a re-election campaign by producing a television ad recalling a past crisis when he provided both personal comfort and—even more importantly—public resources to his constituents in their moment of need. But when that politician is better known for taking symbolic […] Read more »