Joe Biden’s surprise victories on Super Tuesday were powered by Democratic voters who broke his way just days before casting their ballots — a wave of late momentum that scrambled the race in a matter of hours. … Here’s a snapshot of Democratic voters in Alabama, California, Colorado, Massachusetts, Minnesota, […] Read more »
Biden’s Super Tuesday Test: Defending the South
Key Points • Joe Biden’s victory in South Carolina re-established him as the main challenger to Bernie Sanders. • There is some indication their battle could break on regional lines, with Sanders fighting for inroads in the South and Biden for access to the North. Biden’s task on Tuesday is […] Read more »
This Super Tuesday is impossible to predict
“Trust the polls” is the soothing mantra of the data nerd. While polls are snapshots of public opinion at a specific time, and they are fallible, in most circumstances, they represent the best picture of what America is thinking and are the most powerful predictor of eventual election results. But […] Read more »
Some Questions Already Seem Answered About Super Tuesday
It’s hard to remember an Election Day with so much uncertainty as voters go to the polls. And yet Joe Biden’s blowout win in South Carolina on Saturday — and subsequent steps toward consolidating the Democratic Party’s moderate wing — may have already answered many of the biggest questions about […] Read more »
Bernie Sanders’ hidden Super Tuesday edge
Bernie Sanders could receive a big boost today from a powerful demographic dynamic, even as more party leaders consolidate to resist his candidacy. The groups that have most favored the senator from Vermont in the Democratic presidential race are much more widely distributed than the groups that have resisted him […] Read more »
Why South Carolina matters for Super Tuesday
… Biden comes out of South Carolina with a head of steam. He scored nearly 50% of the vote and won by nearly 30 points. CNN’s polling demonstrates that if Biden’s going to stay competitive with Sanders beyond South Carolina, he’s going to need a big and fast bounce out […] Read more »