The special election on Tuesday in Pennsylvania’s 18th Congressional District, in the western part of the state, will put Republicans to the test in a part of the country that President Trump has made central to his message. The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast crew discusses the candidates, expectations and political environment […] Read more »
My Union or My President? Dueling Loyalties Mark Pennsylvania Race
If Conor Lamb scores a stunning upset in the special congressional election on Tuesday deep in Trump country in southwest Pennsylvania, he is clear about who should get the credit. “You’ve been the heart and soul of this campaign,” Mr. Lamb told a rally of union steelworkers at their Pittsburgh […] Read more »
Trade Is An Identity Issue, And Trump Knows It
There is little question that when President Trump holds a rally in Moon Township, Pa., on Saturday night, he will tout the tariffs he imposed on imported steel and aluminum this week. Western Pennsylvania is steel country, after all, so his message should play well there. But it will likely resonate […] Read more »
Poll Hub: Talkin’ Trump & Tackling the Trash Talk
The latest Marist Poll has President Donald Trump’s approval rating at 42%, his highest approval rating since taking office. In this week’s edition of Poll Hub, the crew provides an in-depth look at the factors driving the president’s improved standing and responds to the critiques of the poll’s methodology. Plus, […] Read more »
What Americans Think of Other Countries — and Vice Versa
Americans have high opinions of certain countries whose citizens, in turn, have low approval of U.S. leadership. These lopsided sentiments have become more pronounced amid major declines in approval of U.S. leadership in 2017. In what countries is the discrepancy greatest? Later, find out Americans’ true feelings on trade — […] Read more »
Support for Trump’s tariffs even lower than his job approval rating
If President Trump thinks that imposing steep tariffs on steel and aluminum will boost his public support, he is going to be disappointed. After dipping during the Great Recession, public support for international trade has rebounded as unemployment has declined. CONT. William A. Galston, Brookings Institution Read more »