Fox News Poll: Tariffs hurt economy, Trump has gone too far on immigration

Fifty-seven percent of voters feel optimistic about the economy. That’s down from 66 percent who felt that way when President Trump was inaugurated in early 2017, and from 63 percent who were optimistic in February. … On tariffs, voters say they hurt (45 percent) rather than help the U.S. economy […] Read more »

How the Ongoing Trade Fights Complicate the Political Map in 2020

As the nation’s trade fights linger on — and the 2020 presidential campaign moves onto the runway — there are three sets of counties to keep an eye on in the American Communities Project: the ag-based Aging Farmlands, small-town Rural Middle America, and the blue-collar Middle Suburbs. The tariffs and […] Read more »

Trump Is More Vulnerable to Democratic Attacks on Trade Than You Might Think

To President Trump, tariff “is a beautiful word indeed.” Just in the last few weeks, he increased tariffs on billions of Chinese imports and threatened Mexico with big new tariffs. His enthusiasm as trade-warrior-in-chief, though, has not been mirrored by the public. At least that is the conclusion to draw […] Read more »

5 reasons why income inequality has become a major political issue

Income inequality has captured America’s economic debate. President Donald Trump, elected with the votes of discontented blue-collar workers, slaps tariffs on allies and adversaries alike in the name of restoring yesterday’s middle-class manufacturing jobs. His 2020 Democratic challengers demand an array of federal initiatives, including higher minimum wages, tax hikes […] Read more »

How Candidates Are Handling The ‘Electability’ Question

More women are running in the Democratic presidential primary than ever before. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses what we know about how voters respond to female candidates and how different women in the race are addressing questions about their identity. The team also weighs […] Read more »