Trade Conflicts Weigh on Confidence, Posing a Risk to Trump

Economists and business leaders have been warning for months that President Trump’s trade war could damage the economy. The American public increasingly shares those concerns. Consumers have been a bulwark of support for the economy, remaining confident even as hiring has slowed, the manufacturing sector has slumped and financial markets […] Read more »

Rejecting Retreat: Americans Support US Engagement in Global Affairs

The upending of US foreign policy under the Trump administration, the revolt against establishment politicians, and the rise of the progressive wing in US politics has led many foreign policy experts to conclude that Americans want to retreat from the world. Much of Washington and its foreign policy elite believe […] Read more »

U-M Surveys of Consumers: Tariffs weaken confidence

The Consumer Sentiment Index posted its largest monthly decline in August 2019 (-8.6 points) since December 2012 (-9.8 points), according to the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. The 2012 plunge reflected widespread fears among consumers that they would be pushed off the “fiscal cliff” due to rising taxes and […] Read more »