… Continuity prevails when voters—or at least a critical mass of them—feel good about how the country is doing. Change wins out when a majority of voters are not happy. A chart put together by a Republican campaign consultant, who for obvious reasons would rather remain unnamed, measures this via […] Read more »
Biden opens up 11-point national lead over Trump in NBC News/WSJ poll
Presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden holds a double-digit lead nationally over President Donald Trump, with 7 in 10 voters saying the country is on the wrong track, and majorities disapproving of the president’s handling of the coronavirus and race relations. … The NBC News/WSJ poll also shows a whopping […] Read more »
Poll Hub: Now and Later
On this week’s episode of our podcast, Poll Hub, we explain the latest results from our America Now: National Outlook Index. We assess how Americans’ opinions about their health and economic conditions have and have not changed. Plus, we introduce our baseline measurements of Americans’ feelings toward society and government […] Read more »
Public’s Mood Turns Grim; Trump Trails Biden on Most Personal Traits, Major Issues
With less than five months until the 2020 elections, Americans are deeply unhappy with the state of the nation. As the United States simultaneously struggles with a pandemic, an economic recession and protests about police violence and racial justice, the share of the public saying they are satisfied with the […] Read more »
U.S. Mood Doesn’t Have to Be Bright for Incumbents to Win
Americans are typically unlikely to express high levels of satisfaction with the way things are going in the U.S.; thus, high satisfaction is not necessary for incumbent presidents to be reelected. Still, based on the history of the satisfaction measure in presidential election years in which it has been asked, […] Read more »
Record number of Americans say fight against coronavirus going badly
As COVID-19 cases rise across the country, Americans offer some of their most dire views on the pandemic to date: record numbers say efforts against the outbreak are going badly (including new highs saying efforts are going very badly); President Trump receives his lowest marks for handling the pandemic since […] Read more »