Hillary Clinton would defeat Ted Cruz and trounce Donald Trump in a hypothetical head-to-head general election matchup, but she would lose to Marco Rubio or Ben Carson, a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll finds. CONT. Carrie Dann, NBC News Read more »
Cruz campaign credits psychological data and analytics for its rising success
As Cecil Stinemetz walked up to a gray clapboard house in suburban Des Moines last week wearing his “Cruz 2016” cap, a program on his iPhone was determining what kind of person would answer the door. … It turned out that Birdie Harms, a 64-year-old grandmother, part-time real-estate agent and […] Read more »
Ted Cruz taps into disaffected conservatives’ anger in a bold play that just might work
All year long, smart Republicans have been whispering: Keep a close eye on Ted Cruz. He’s got a message that appeals to the party’s most conservative voters. He’s running a good campaign, well-organized and well-funded. He’s going to be a finalist — and he might just win the nomination. Well, […] Read more »
State of election markets: An interesting shift within the non-establishment derby
The main outline of the GOP primary was stable this week; the establishment (Marco Rubio, Jeb Bush, and Chris Christie) is 60% to win and the non-establishment (Ted Cruz and Donald Trump) is 40%. But, there was an interesting shift within the non-establishment derby after Trump announced a proposed ban […] Read more »
New Poll May Show a Three-Way GOP Fight
The size and shape of the Republican presidential field is still shifting, but the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll suggests the remaining candidates are fighting to fill three GOP primary “lanes” – one for establishment supporters, one for social conservatives and one for the white working-class. CONT. Dante Chinni, […] Read more »
New Hampshire Will Weed Republican Field
The New Hampshire presidential primary vote usually breaks late. This time, not unusually, it will break a few candidates. … Voters can choose either party’s primary in New Hampshire, and knowledgeable Republicans suggest that a heavy influx of independents could help push a mainstream conservative to the top spot. There […] Read more »