The first major public poll of the U.S. Senate race in Texas showed Republican incumbent Ted Cruz leading Democratic congressman Beto O’Rourke by only 3 points. This week, the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast team debates whether there’s reason to believe that the race is actually that close. Fittingly, the crew also […] Read more »
More than half of Americans think Trump will lose in 2020
A majority of Americans think President Donald Trump will lose his re-election bid in 2020, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS, similar numbers to those facing former President Barack Obama at this point in his first term ahead of his re-election victory. CONT. Ryan Struyk, CNN Read more »
UT/TT Poll: Texas voters familiar with Cruz but not Democratic rival O’Rourke
Republican U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz is much better known among Texas voters than his best-known political rival, Democratic U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke of El Paso, according to the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll. The incumbent faces some headwinds: 38 percent of voters said they have favorable opinions of Cruz, […] Read more »
UT/TT Poll: Texas voters grade state’s top elected officials
… Gov. Greg Abbott remains the highest rated of the state’s high officials, with 45 percent of voters saying they approve his job performance and 38 saying they disapprove. … The most popular U.S. senator from Texas is Ted Cruz, with 38 percent of Texas voters saying they approve of […] Read more »
The End of the 114th Congress
The 114th Congress has finally ended. The most polarized Congress since the early 20th Century and one where almost all issues have been drawn into the first dimension [we will address dimensionality in a future post; the current period is unique in American history]. CONT. Voteview Read more »
Poll Shows Republicans Less Committed to Trump in Defeat
Republican primary voters strongly backed Donald Trump for the presidential nomination, but the party is far less sure if it wants him to lead the GOP if he loses in November. When asked in the latest Bloomberg Politics poll who should be the face of the party nationally in the […] Read more »