As the 2016 presidential race officially begins, both party contests are in a place that we, and many others, did not expect them to be. On the Democratic side, frontrunner Hillary Clinton faces a stern challenge from a stronger-than-expected foe, Bernie Sanders. And the Republicans could be on the verge […] Read more »
RAND 2016 Presidential Election Panel Survey
The RAND Corporation kicked off its 2016 RAND Presidential Election Panel Survey (PEPS) with an initial survey covering late December 2015 and early January 2016, and will continue surveying through the months leading up to the presidential election in November. … The survey confirms Donald Trump (the favorite of 38 […] Read more »
For Trump and His Rivals, The Race to Iowa Is Strictly a Numbers Game
… Over the past two weeks, six polls released nationally, and in Iowa and New Hampshire—the critical first two states—show Trump’s support converging with noticeably little variation at around one-third of the Republican vote. Each of those polls shows Trump leading his rivals. Four polls released Tuesday morning also largely […] Read more »
Cruz’s Image Among Republicans Sinks in Recent Days
Ted Cruz’s image among Republicans has deteriorated in recent days. At several points in late December/early January, Cruz had a net favorable rating of +48 among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents. At this time, Cruz’s net favorable rating was the most positive image of any of the GOP candidates Gallup is […] Read more »
CNN/ORC Poll: Donald Trump dominates GOP field at 41%
Donald Trump has hit a new high in the race for the Republican nomination, according to a new CNN/ORC Poll, with more than 4-in-10 Republican voters nationwide now saying they back the billionaire. CONT. Jennifer Agiesta, CNN Read more »
GOPers Call Trump the Likely Winner; His Lead Stays Big, With Cruz Behind
Donald Trump holds his lead for the GOP nomination and has soared in expectations: 64 percent of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents now expect him to be the party’s nominee, up sharply in the last two months. CONT. Gary Langer, ABC News Read more »