The Iowa caucuses might have been called the Iowa carcasses. Both parties saw a race between body parts: the head versus the heart. … The Iowa results mean that the races in both parties could go on for a while. The Republican establishment is thrilled to see Trump get his […] Read more »
How pollsters got Iowa wrong
Donald Trump led almost all of the polls leading up to Monday night’s Iowa caucuses – just ask him. … So why did the public polls – including the gold-standard Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa Poll – miss Cruz’s victory? There are some clues buried in the election results and […] Read more »
2016 Iowa caucuses: Two races decided by very different factors
Two very competitive contests in Iowa Monday night were decided by very different factors. Here are some key findings from the CBS News Iowa entrance poll. CONT. Stanley Feldman & Melissa Herrmann, CBS News Read more »
How Ted Cruz won Iowa
Powered by enormous support from very conservative voters, Ted Cruz surged past expectations to capture a victory in the Iowa caucuses on Monday night. Cruz earned the support of 4 in 10 “very conservative” voters in the state, a group which made up 40 percent of the electorate according to […] Read more »
Polls Show Preferences and Priorities in Iowa
Senator Ted Cruz won support among white evangelical voters, conservatives and those who were seeking a candidate who shares their values. Donald J. Trump did well among first-time caucusgoers and those who want the next president to be from outside the political establishment and bring change. Senator Marco Rubio found […] Read more »
Why Iowa Matters For Trump And Sanders
If there’s one thing almost every species of political journalist agrees upon — number-crunchy nerds and shoe-leather reporters have no real beef about this — it’s that Iowa matters. Iowa matters a lot. … It isn’t self-evident why the votes of a couple of hundred thousand people in a kooky […] Read more »