… When it comes to Trump, there are two ways to look at the results and the polls. The first way is the Trump way, where the businessman is consistently leading and winning. The second way points out that between 65-70 percent, or more, of Republican voters know Trump and […] Read more »
New Hampshire: When the Heart Beat the Head
The quick takeaways from the Granite State: 1. Trump and Sanders won big, but haven’t put to rest questions about their electability and 2. The GOP establishment vacuum remains, but Marco Rubio, the big loser tonight, still remains the likeliest candidate to fill it. CONT. Amy Walter, Cook Political Report Read more »
Seven takeaways from the New Hampshire primary exit polls
The New Hampshire primary is usually known as the graveyard of pollsters, but not this year. In this case, the polls generally got it right. As predicted, businessman Donald Trump and Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vermont, carried the night by double-digit margins over their competitors. And that’s just one of the […] Read more »
PredictWise: New Hampshire Recap
New Hampshire happened exactly as expected with Donald Trump and John Kasich finishing first and second in the Republican primary and Bernie Sanders winning the Democratic primary. … Marco Rubio’s finish is a failure and a confirmation that his poor debate performance on Saturday, February 6 was interpreted poorly by […] Read more »
What About Ted Cruz?
Despite Donald Trump’s victory in New Hampshire, what is the chance that Republicans will nominate Ted Cruz and that he will go on to win the presidency? … Cruz, more than any of the other Republican presidential candidates, including Trump, is ideally suited to mobilize every Democratic constituency, including single […] Read more »
Pushback Against the Political Order Boosts Both Trump and Sanders in N.H.
A powerful pushback against the established political order lifted Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders alike in New Hampshire, underscoring deep splits both within and between the Republican and Democratic parties. Trump was boosted to victory by broad support among voters seeking a political outsider, anger at the federal government, strong […] Read more »