While Republican Party insiders angle for a last-minute alternative to Donald Trump, GOP voters are warning against convention deals that seem to go against the will of the rank and file. A majority of Republican voters want Trump to get their presidential nomination if he’s ahead but short of a […] Read more »
Trump Support Fades As Mistakes Grow; Sanders, Clinton Tied
A week of missteps has taken its toll on Donald Trump’s support among Republicans and the general public, the latest IBD/TIPP Poll shows. Trump’s lead against his GOP rivals narrowed considerably, and he fares worse against Hillary Clinton than he did in national surveys taken before last week. CONT. John […] Read more »
Are Sanders And Cruz Really Less ‘Electable’?
With a varied cast of characters pursuing each party’s nomination for president, the subject of electability — the idea that some candidates are inherently better or worse general election candidates than others — keeps coming up. … But what does “electability” mean? Is it real? CONT. Julia Azari (Marquette), FiveThirtyEight Read more »
Donald Trump’s Struggle in Wisconsin Is About Demographics, Not Momentum
… We’ve frequently published articles using models to predict the results of contests based on demographics, and both models — one after the Super Tuesday primaries and one after the March 15 primaries — projected Wisconsin to be one of Mr. Trump’s worst remaining states. … Why is Wisconsin such […] Read more »
Battleground Wisconsin: A Trump loss to Cruz could reshape GOP race
Wisconsin has become an unexpected battleground for Donald Trump and the conglomeration of forces desperately aligning against him, with Tuesday’s primary emerging as a key moment that could reshape the Republican nominating contest both mathematically and psychologically. … What also makes Wisconsin important is that it is the only contest […] Read more »
A very bad week for Trump, but he’s still the favorite to win the GOP nomination
Donald Trump had a very bad week last week, but is still the favored [sic] to win the Republican nomination. While the Republican elites do not favor his nomination, there are two key shifts after this week. First, polling in Wisconsin, which votes on Tuesday April 5, is starting to […] Read more »