The unique characteristics of the Trump candidacy and his continuing unique style of leadership have led us and other pollsters to reflect on our methods of measuring public opinion. We are continuing to experiment with different ways to measure voter attitudes about President Trump, and several of these new methods […] Read more »
FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast: The Most Special Special Election Yet
The special election on Tuesday in Pennsylvania’s 18th Congressional District, in the western part of the state, will put Republicans to the test in a part of the country that President Trump has made central to his message. The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast crew discusses the candidates, expectations and political environment […] Read more »
New peril for moderate Dems: Voters happy with Trump’s economy
Half of all voters in the 10 states that voted for Trump but have Democratic senators say the economy is better off now than it was a year ago, according to new Axios/SurveyMonkey polls. And in nine of the states majorities approve of the GOP tax law. CONT. Alexi McCammond, […] Read more »
Support for Tax Overhaul Rising, but Law Remains Unpopular
Americans’ support for the tax changes signed into law by President Donald Trump late last year has edged up to 39% from 33% in January and 29% in December before the bill was passed. But more Americans continue to disapprove than approve of the law. CONT. Jeffrey M. Jones, Gallup Read more »
Nearly half of Americans agree with Nancy Pelosi’s ‘crumbs’ comment, according to a poll by a pro-Trump group
House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) has earned the ire of Republicans for suggesting that major corporations are giving workers “crumbs” while top executives reap bonuses after passage of the GOP’s tax revision plan. But a new poll from a group supportive of President Trump finds nearly half of Americans […] Read more »
Democrats’ Biggest Threat in 2018
The biggest threat to Democrats in the 2018 election may be the risk of repeating their biggest mistake in the 2016 election. That mistake was Hillary Clinton’s decision to focus almost all of her effort on convincing voters that Donald Trump did not share their values, while failing to effectively […] Read more »