Just over two weeks after Brett Kavanaugh was sworn in as a Supreme Court justice, a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll finds that voters remain deeply divided along partisan lines over his ascension to the court, with the consequences of his polarizing confirmation battle reverberating among key segments of […] Read more »
AP-NORC Poll: Just 1 in 4 thinks Kavanaugh told entire truth
Just 1 in 4 people thinks Brett Kavanaugh was completely honest when he heatedly rebuffed charges of sexual assault and heavy drinking during his Supreme Court confirmation hearing, and Republicans and Democrats hold starkly divergent views of whether his sworn testimony to senators was credible, a poll released Friday showed. […] Read more »
A Shift in GOP Fortunes
The most dramatic change over the last six weeks in the midterm election picture is clearly in the Senate, but the House situation has subtly changed as well. Not long ago, the most likely outcome for the Senate was either no net change at all, or a shift of one […] Read more »
President Trump, health care drive midterm elections
Less than three weeks until Election Day, voters are thinking most about health care, the economy, and reining in President Trump — and Democratic candidates are benefitting. Currently, 49 percent of likely voters back the Democratic candidate in their House district and 42 percent the Republican, according to a new […] Read more »
The Political Class Got 2016 Wrong. Could We See a Repeat?
… Although most politicos argued it was unlikely that Trump could win the presidency trailing Clinton going into the last weekend before the election, they forgot or chose to deny that it was still theoretically possible that voters could deliver a surprise outcome. Many are still in denial. Reading the […] Read more »
The Supreme Court hasn’t followed public opinion for 50 years. Why would it start now?
Justice Brett M. Kavanaugh’s confirmation reawakened concerns about the representativeness of the Supreme Court. As Brendan Nyhan pointed out here at TMC, Kavanaugh was appointed by a president who lost the popular vote and confirmed by a Senate majority that represents less than half of the U.S. population. Scholars have […] Read more »