In a year that has included impeachment, a global pandemic, economic turmoil and a reckoning on race, the death of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg crystallizes the choice in November as perhaps none of the other issues can. … Ginsburg’s death changes the calculus for the campaign between President […] Read more »
How A Supreme Court Vacancy Will Shape The Election
In this emergency installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s passing and how the political fight around the new vacancy on the court might unfold. FiveThirtyEight The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s […] Read more »
Unlike 2016, polling this year suggests Democrats more motivated by Supreme Court than Republicans
The death of Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg has the ability to upend the 2020 presidential election. But while most analysis suggests President Donald Trump was helped by the opportunity to appoint a new justice in the 2016 election, polling this time around suggests something different may be in […] Read more »
Public views of Justice Ginsburg and appointments to the Supreme Court
Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg, who died on Sept. 18, was the best known of the current justices, according to a new Marquette Law School national survey of public opinion of the Supreme Court, completed three days before her death. While few of the justices have become household names, Ginsburg was […] Read more »
Polls Have Shown Voters Prefer Biden to Pick Next Justice
In 2016 and 2018, many analysts concluded that Supreme Court politics helped Republicans by helping to energize or consolidate conservative voters. True or not, it certainly wasn’t obvious ahead of time which side would benefit from a court vacancy, and the same can be said today, in the aftermath of […] Read more »
Where polling stands as the Supreme Court vaults into the top tier of campaign issues
One of the more remarkable findings in the exit polls conducted after the 2016 election was the wide partisan gap in how motivated people felt by Supreme Court nominations in deciding who to support. A fifth of voters said court nominations were the most important factor in their vote — […] Read more »