It’s Not Just Suburban Women. A Lot of Groups Have Turned Against Trump.

By now, you’ve probably heard that Donald J. Trump has a problem with women. Not just suburban women, but American women across age, race or education — a pattern that shows up in every poll. But the gender gap may not be as much about President Trump as many people […] Read more »

Why the GOP hold on Texas is loosening

The huge surge of early voting in Texas’ rapidly growing cities and inner suburbs likely marks the end of unchallenged Republican dominance in America’s second largest state — a seismic shift in the nation’s electoral landscape. Even if President Donald Trump retains enough rural strength to hold Texas in next […] Read more »

How 2020 may reconfigure politics in the Southwest

For years, the Southwest shimmered like a mirage to Democrats thirsting for a political breakthrough in the desert. Since 2004, steady gains have allowed them to establish a clear upper hand in New Mexico, Colorado and Nevada. But, until recently, they had been frustrated by their inability to extend those […] Read more »

Why the Southeast is up for grabs in the 2020 election

… Apart from Virginia, which now shades reliably blue, Republicans still hold the upper hand in the states across the Southeast. But while the GOP advantage remains lopsided in the Deep South states of Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana and Arkansas, Democrats this year are showing clear signs of revival in North […] Read more »