Why the GOP Should Worry About Hillary Clinton’s Poll Numbers

With the 2016 general election a little less than 16 months away, key polling data for Hillary Clinton shows that her numbers look a lot like President Barack Obama’s in 2012 — and could be bad news for Republicans. The American Communities Project took the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal […] Read more »

2016’s Electoral Terrain Looks a Lot Like 2012

There’s a long list of factors that ultimately decide elections, from candidates to issues, but the electoral terrain ranks near the top. Looking at the 2016 presidential race, three types of counties and three big questions about them will be crucial. CONT. Dante Chinni, Wall Street Journal Read more »

Republican Areas of Country Getting More Conservative

Poll numbers show that while the nation has grown more politically “liberal” overall since 2008, as we noted here recently, some places with strong Republican voting tendencies have moved in the opposite direction, becoming more “conservative.” … The growing divides highlight the challenge Republican candidates may have in winning swing […] Read more »

The Gentrification Effect

… The nation’s urban centers are changing rapidly. Blacks are moving out, into the suburbs or to other regions of the country. Poverty is spreading from the urban core to the inner suburbs. White flight has slowed and in some cases reversed. Nationally, Hispanics have displaced blacks as the dominant […] Read more »

How the Democrats lost: The failed ground game

The combined Democratic campaign placed a large portion of its 2014 success on the premise that they would use a massive investment in technology, grassroots strategy, and boots on the ground to reprise the Obama urban coalition of minorities and younger voters. It failed miserably, and Democrats around the nation […] Read more »

The United States of Unease

… For the past month, CityLab has reported results from the Atlantic Media/Siemens State of the City poll, which explored how Americans living in urban, suburban, and rural areas rate their communities on all the key components of daily life, from education, transportation and safety to the environment and culture. […] Read more »