Throughout this election cycle, FiveThirtyEight and others wondered where Democrats could pick up House seats: Would it be in the 13 districts that Mitt Romney carried in 2012 but Hillary Clinton won in 2016? Or would it be in the 21 districts that Barack Obama carried in 2012 but Donald […] Read more »
Suburban Voters Gave Democrats Their House Majority
Democrats retook the House of Representatives on the back of a suburban surge Tuesday, remaking a once rock-ribbed Republican bastion into a Democratic stronghold. … The suburbs aren’t monolithically blue in the same way America’s urban congressional districts are. … And the suburbs aren’t quite as red as rural America, […] Read more »
Five Takeaways From Democrats’ House Triumph
… With 75 competitive races, it will take more time than usual to take stock of Tuesday’s powerful, if uneven, wave. But here are a few initial impressions in the aftermath of a whirlwind night: 1. This was mostly a suburban revolt. Democrats easily swept out most of the Republicans […] Read more »
Democrats Can Get Close To A House Majority With Suburban Seats Alone
This entire election cycle we’ve heard (and even written) that the Democrats’ path to a House majority may lie in the suburbs. Although that summary is a bit simplistic because of the breadth of the House battlefield, an analysis of a recent article from CityLab and FiveThirtyEight’s House forecast suggest […] Read more »
Two Americas, only 30 miles apart
As the US mid-term elections approach, the real divide when it comes to values and voting is between rural and urban America. And whether it’s their views on race, guns or Donald Trump, people in these places might as well be living on different planets. As part of the BBC’s Ask […] Read more »
The Epicenter of Republican Vulnerability in the House
Democrats’ promising prospects in the 25 Republican-held House districts that voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016 underscore the price of the electoral trade that Donald Trump’s tempestuous presidency is imposing on the Republican Party. Less than one month before Election Day, Democrats are strongly positioned to win at least 15, […] Read more »