I have been thinking a lot about North Carolina these days. While the former “Blue Wall” states get the lion’s share of coverage, North Carolina is actually the bigger bang for the buck. It is one of just two states — the other is Arizona — to have its presidential […] Read more »
Coronavirus is dividing blue cities from their red states
The struggle to contain the coronavirus pandemic is opening a new front in the long-running conflict between blue cities and red states. Across a wide array of states with Republican governors, many of the largest cities and counties — most of them led by Democrats — are moving aggressively to […] Read more »
Turnout in the 2020 Democratic Primary: Some Clues for the Fall
Key Points • With very few exceptions, statewide turnout in the 2020 Democratic primary has been higher than 2016. • Suburban areas have seen some of the sharpest turnout increases — though these areas tend to have higher population growth, they’ve also trended blue in general elections, perhaps a positive […] Read more »
Red and Blue America Aren’t Experiencing the Same Pandemic
Even a disease as far-reaching as the coronavirus hasn’t entirely crossed the chasm between red and blue America. In several key respects, the outbreak’s early stages are unfolding very differently in Republican- and Democratic-leaning parts of the country. That disconnect is already shaping, even distorting, the nation’s response to this […] Read more »
Upcoming primaries present Biden with a path to nomination
Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders’ 2020 run for the White House has been predicated on his ability to energize the electorate and bring new voters to the polls. But results from primary states so far suggest that increases in the vote up to now have not helped Sanders. In fact, the […] Read more »
Suburbanites are voting and that’s good news for Joe Biden
Nearly two years after suburbanites helped drive a Democratic surge, there are clear signs these voters are engaged and primed to vote Democratic again. Turnout in the Democratic presidential primary has been strong across suburban counties, from northern Virginia to Southern California, that fueled the 2018 wave. In several key […] Read more »