In Seeking to Hold Michigan, Trump Can Be His Own Worst Enemy

… Even before the coronavirus infected more than 56,000 residents and left it with the second-worst unemployment rate in the country, Michigan was shaping up to be the most difficult state for Mr. Trump to win a second time. Now his prospects there appear dimmer — in part because of […] Read more »

How Much Trump Could Help (Or Harm) Down-Ballot Republicans In November

Looking ahead to November, the presidential race could decide more than just who the next president is. It could also determine which party controls the Senate or House or even a state’s legislature. And that’s because of something political science calls the “coattail effect,” which is when the popularity of […] Read more »

California Issues Poll Reveals Voters’ Attitudes on New Voting Procedures and Political Reform

With less than two weeks before the March 3 Primary Election, many potential California voters surveyed still aren’t clear about new Voters’ Choice Act (VCA) voting procedures put into place for the first time in 15 California counties, according to a poll conducted by the USC Price School of Public […] Read more »

Trump Not Immune to the Usual Down-Ballot Presidential Penalty

On Monday, President Donald Trump began his fourth year in office. His presidency has been unique in many ways, but he’s been like other presidents in at least one respect: His party has generally lost ground down the ballot since he took office. In recent decades, presidents have typically seen […] Read more »