For weeks, the mantra of the data nerd has been that President Trump can still win reelection. The Democratic nightmare scenario — Trump loses the popular vote but again wins the electoral college — is very much still on the table. But the same statistical models that show a path […] Read more »
For the GOP, Much More Than the White House and Senate Hangs in the Balance
… There is a good reason for Republicans to be concerned, but not just at the top of the ticket. With virtually all of the political air in the room consumed by the battle for the White House and control of the Senate, there isn’t much left for the 435 […] Read more »
Why Democrats Need to Play to Win in Texas
The Democratic Party — from Joe Biden all the way down to the grassroots — need make a huge investment in Texas, but not for the reasons you think. … The question isn’t if Texas becomes blue. The question is when. And if we don’t fight like hell in 2020, […] Read more »
The Politics We Don’t See Matter as Much as Those We Do
Some of the most important developments in politics do not happen every election cycle, but every ten years, when politicians scrap the old battleground map and struggle to replace it with a new one more favorable to their interests. … Democrats may have the wind at their backs this year, […] Read more »
The Pandemic Is Damaging the GOP Brand Everywhere
Although hardly any of the governors grappling with the fiercest coronavirus outbreaks are on the ballot this fall, voters’ verdicts about their performance loom heavily over another electoral battle with enormous implications for the balance of power between the parties over the next decade: the struggle for control of state […] Read more »
Georgia. Ohio. Texas. Democrats Tell Biden to Go Big (He’s Being Cautious).
With President Trump’s poll numbers sliding in traditional battlegrounds as well as conservative-leaning states, and money pouring into Democratic campaigns, Joseph R. Biden Jr. is facing rising pressure to expand his ambitions, compete aggressively in more states and press his party’s advantage down the ballot. In a series of phone […] Read more »