How Trump Stands to Gain by Focusing on Gun Control

The gun-control debate could hit a sweet spot for Donald Trump. His position has appeal to a group that he needs to gain the White House — less educated white Democrats — without doing much to alienate traditionally Republican voters. CONT. Nate Cohn, New York Times Recent polls: Guns Read more »

Why the Next President Will Inherit a Divided Country

One of the driving forces of modern American politics has been the kaleidoscopic reshaping of the electorate, as minorities have steadily increased their share of the vote while whites—particularly those without advanced education—have declined. But these trends have affected the two parties in strikingly different ways, likely to further diverge […] Read more »

The Parties Invert

Even from its first flurries, it’s already clear that a presidential race between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump will radically accelerate the ongoing transformation in the identity of the two major political parties. One of the key trends in modern American politics is what I’ve called the class inversion—the shift […] Read more »

For Clinton, the general election is about married women

… Affluent suburban women are a key audience for Clinton, the Democratic front-runner, as she seeks to use Trump’s polarizing statements about women, immigrants and others against him. … Although many suburban women identify as Republican or independent, they often vote on the kinds of pocketbook issues Clinton is emphasizing […] Read more »

Bernie Sanders’s Legacy? The Left May No Longer Need the Rich

… Mr. Sanders’s weakness among affluent Democrats and his strength among working-class Democrats might seem unsurprising, given his class-focused message. … But in broader historical terms, it might be something of a turning point in Democratic politics: the moment when the party’s left no longer needs an alliance with wealthy […] Read more »