California Dream Far from Real: Nearly One-Third of Californians Working, yet Struggling with Poverty

A new survey released today by PRRI finds almost one-third (31 percent) of Californians are in the workforce and yet are still struggling with poverty. The survey maps how this group struggles to cover basic housing and healthcare expenses, and how these individuals are more likely than workers who are […] Read more »

The answer to GOP dog whistles? Democrats should talk more about race, not less.

Since Donald Trump’s ascension to the White House, various political insiders have warned Democrats not to talk about race issues or what they term — “identity politics,” a phrase that intentionally downgrades a raft of critical concerns. … They’re wrong. In empirical testing, we found that Democrats can prevail by […] Read more »

The Women Who Gave Trump the White House Could Tip the Midterms to Democrats

When Donald Trump this week publicly disparaged his former aide Omarosa Manigault-Newman as a “dog,” he crystallized again the belligerent style and volatile behavior that has exposed Republican candidates in November to the risk of a crushing backlash among women. The most important unanswered question for the midterm election may […] Read more »

What the Ohio result tells us about a big argument among Democrats

A number of analyses of the Ohio special election results — including the one offered by your humble blogger earlier today — focused on the outsize energy in the suburbs of Columbus, where Democrat Danny O’Connor ran up large vote totals, something that bodes well for Democratic chances this fall. […] Read more »

The Blue-Collar Elephant in the Room

There’s an elephant in the Republican Party’s midterm room. Discussion about how to close the yawning generic ballot gap has focused on building the wall, selling the tax cuts, and emphasizing how President Trump has delivered on judicial nominees and deregulation. All of these issues are of particular import to […] Read more »