Trump’s options for winning a second term are narrowing

The tumultuous impeachment hearings and the string of GOP election losses this fall underline the electoral risks Republicans are courting as they allow President Donald Trump to refashion the party in his combative image. In overlapping ways, the election results and the hearings — in particular Trump’s characteristically belligerent response […] Read more »

This group of voters could swing the 2020 election

Few questions may shape the result of the 2020 election more than whether Democrats can exploit the religious gap in attitudes toward President Donald Trump that has emerged among his core constituency of working-class white voters. While polls generally show Trump retaining strong support overall among blue-collar whites, more detailed […] Read more »

Trump Has No Room for Error in 2020

The risk in Donald Trump’s base-first electoral strategy is only rising—because the size of his base is shrinking. Working-class whites are on track to continue declining as a share of eligible voters in 2020, according to a study released today by the liberal think tank Center for American Progress. In […] Read more »

As Support for Trump’s Impeachment Grows, His Base Digs In Its Heels

A new survey of the country’s cultural and political landscape found that support for impeaching and removing President Trump from office is rising among most Americans, but that Republicans remain almost unanimously opposed, leaving Mr. Trump with a loyal but shrinking core of supporters. The findings, released on Monday by […] Read more »

Fractured Nation: From Impeachment to Issue Priorities, Democrats and Republicans Inhabiting Increasingly Different Worlds

Amidst the backdrop of an impeachment inquiry and the Democratic Presidential primary race, a landmark survey of 2,527 Americans released today by PRRI finds Democrats and Republicans increasingly divided on issues including immigration, health care, and impeachment heading into the 2020 election cycle. PRRI’s 10th annual 2019 American Values Survey […] Read more »