From his open defiance of public health officials when holding rallies to his increasingly explicit embrace of White racial backlash, President Donald Trump has set a course for his reelection campaign that could produce the GOP’s largest deficit in the history of modern polling among well-educated White voters. Relative to […] Read more »
Working-class white women are turning on Trump
President Trump’s storied grip on the white working class is weakening among women, threatening both his reelection prospects and his party’s efforts to improve its standing with female voters. While working-class men remain among Trump’s most loyal backers, defections among their wives, sisters and daughters are a big part of […] Read more »
The Real Threats to America’s Cities
After years of revival and resurgence, the nation’s largest metropolitan areas are now being squeezed by external threats and an internal eruption along their deepest fault line—one that could fracture their political influence in the years to come. America’s cities have already faced almost four years of persistent hostility from […] Read more »
Eroding support from white working-class women threatens Trump’s reelection
Although it has received less attention, Trump’s waning support among women with less than a college degree may prove just as important as his eroding support among older voters. As far back as the 2018 midterm elections, commentators began suggesting that support for Trump was dwindling among white non-college women. […] Read more »
The Unequal Distribution of Economic Damage From COVID-19
The COVID-19 pandemic has caused immense economic damage, but the harm has not been evenly felt. Workers who provide in-person services have borne the brunt of layoffs and wage reductions, as shown in Gallup data collected from April 17-May 17, 2020. Moreover, those in low-paying jobs are much more likely […] Read more »
Does Trump Really Have Unique Appeal Among Working-Class Whites?
In this week’s FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the team discusses comments former Vice President Joe Biden made during a conversation about black voters. The crew also talks through the findings of a new study about white working class voters in the 2016 election. FiveThirtyEight The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown […] Read more »