A brand-new national NBC/WSJ poll finds Jeb Bush leading the crowded Republican presidential field, with 22% of GOP primary voters saying he’s their first choice. He’s followed by Scott Walker at 17%, Marco Rubio at 14%, and Ben Carson at 11%. While Jeb had a similar five-point lead in our […] Read more »
Walker’s Tricky Balancing Act
What makes Scott Walker such a formidable candidate in the primary is also what makes him vulnerable in a general election. As Walker flexes his conservative muscle on everything from immigration to gay marriage to abortion, he also risks being easily portrayed as ‘out of touch’ to the moderate voters […] Read more »
Behind Scott Walker, a Longstanding Conservative Alliance Against Unions
… More than any of his potential rivals for the White House, Mr. Walker, 47, is a product of a loose network of conservative donors, think tanks and talk radio hosts who have spent years preparing the road for a politician who could successfully present their arguments for small government […] Read more »
Top Dogs and Underdogs
Another political analyst and I recently decided just for fun to write down what percentage chance we would give the top contenders for the Republican presidential nomination. … Obviously, this is a business where surprises are more the norm than the exception, but a field of 15 to 20 candidates […] Read more »
Jeb Goes from Fragile Frontrunner to Underdog
With each passing day, Jeb Bush looks weaker and weaker. While he has a top notch political team and (reportedly) tons of cash, he is dropping, not, rising in the polls. For a party desperate to win back the White House, Bush is looking more and more like a risky […] Read more »
Scott Walker Has Early Lead in Iowa Poll as Jeb Bush Faces Challenges
Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker has expanded his early lead in Iowa, while former Florida Governor Jeb Bush continues to face headwinds and Senator Marco Rubio of Florida shows upside potential in the state that hosts the first 2016 presidential nomination balloting. A new Bloomberg Politics/Des Moines Register Iowa Poll shows […] Read more »