It’s now been almost two weeks since House Speaker Nancy Pelosi announced an impeachment inquiry. In the past week, the House began taking testimony, at least one more whistleblower came forward, and FiveThirtyEight launched our impeachment polling tracker. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew takes a […] Read more »
Polls begin to signal rising impeachment threat to Trump
Modern polling usually tells us how public opinion hasn’t moved. Despite last week’s hailstorm of bad news, President Donald Trump’s job approval rating stood virtually unchanged. So did the president’s backing from Republican elected officials in Washington. Except for Sen. Mitt Romney of Utah and a few others, GOP members […] Read more »
Five takeaways from early polls on impeachment
Public opinion may not determine the outcome of political controversies, but it affects the way elected officials react to events, especially high-profile issues such as impeaching and removing a president from office. Here are five big things we have learned from surveys about the impact of the information the American […] Read more »
Trump’s base is smaller than he thinks
The debate over impeaching President Trump reveals an irony: Those who favor it have far more respect for the president’s supporters than those who oppose it. Critics of impeachment argue that the effort to remove Trump from office over his open invitations of foreign meddling in our elections will only […] Read more »
Uncertainty takes over the lead in the Democratic presidential race
The top fundraiser in the Democratic presidential field was hospitalized for a heart attack, the longtime polling leader and his son sit at the center of an impeachment inquiry, and the one candidate with clear momentum faces persistent doubts among some party leaders that she is too liberal to win […] Read more »
Kamala Harris’s struggles nationally play out in her home state
Three years ago, Kamala Harris won a Senate seat from California in a 24-point rout. More than 7.5 million voters, most of them Democrats, backed her candidacy. But at the moment, not many of them are interested in supporting her for president. … After a spectacular start, a rally in […] Read more »