As Democrats in the U.S. House of Representatives work through an impeachment inquiry regarding alleged abuses of office by President Donald Trump, approval of Congress is now at 25%. That is up from 18% in September, prior to House Speaker Nancy Pelosi announcing the impeachment inquiry following news of possible […] Read more »
Which is the right question?
Survey questions asking whether voters want to impeach and remove Donald Trump from office are now mesmerizing pundits and pols. Important as it seems, it may be the wrong question on which to focus. … The preeminent indicator of a president’s political health is his approval rating. CONT. Mark Mellman […] Read more »
Impeachment could lead to a first in the 2020 election
President Donald Trump, who has repeatedly shattered political tradition, may find himself in another unprecedented circumstance in 2020: He could become the first president ever to be impeached by the House and then seek another term in the next election. That unique prospect could scramble the electoral calculations next year […] Read more »
What To Look For In The Fourth Democratic Debate
Since last Monday’s podcast, a number of new impeachment polls have published, and they don’t look good for President Trump. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew takes a look at the new impeachment polling and reviews some of the main developments since last week. The team […] Read more »
How to know which impeachment polls to believe – and which to skip
Senator Chuck Schumer holds up the White House transcript of a call between President Donald Trump and the president of Ukraine. AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin Michael Traugott, University of Michigan Pollsters are trying their best to track public opinion about the House Democrats’ decision to initiate an impeachment inquiry against President […] Read more »
The Clinton Legacy: Impeachment Hurts the President
Conventional wisdom holds that the Republican Party suffered a big political penalty for impeaching Bill Clinton in 1998. But that’s not quite right. Republicans paid a modest, short-term penalty, while the costs to the Democratic Party appear to have been larger and longer-lasting. … Two decades ago, the Republicans’ decision […] Read more »