Kentucky outcome embarrasses Trump and worries many Republicans ahead of 2020

Democrats’ claim of victory Tuesday in Kentucky’s gubernatorial race, as well as the Democratic takeover of the Virginia state legislature, left Republicans stumbling and increasingly uncertain about their own political fates next year tied to an embattled and unpopular president. Many allies of President Trump rushed to explain away the […] Read more »

It’s A Free-For-All In Iowa

Tomorrow is Election Day, and FiveThirtyEight will be watching competitive races in a number of states. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the governors races in Kentucky and Mississippi and state legislative elections in Virginia. Next, the team takes a look at the latest in […] Read more »

A year out, here’s four scenarios for 2020 elections

After Donald Trump’s surprise victory in 2016, there’s a saturating fear of projecting elections. Nearly three years into his presidency, and with one year left in his first term, there are multiple potential outcomes for the 2020 elections. But the scenarios aren’t created equal and don’t have the same chance […] Read more »

NBC/WSJ poll: 49% now back Trump’s impeachment and removal

Exactly one year out from the 2020 general election, a majority of all Americans — or close to it — support impeaching President Donald Trump and removing him from office, disapprove of his job performance and back his top Democratic rivals in head-to-head matchups. Those are the findings from the […] Read more »

Fox News Poll: 49 percent favor impeaching Trump

Nearly half of voters want President Trump impeached and removed from office, according to a new Fox News Poll. In addition, 6-in-10 believe the president did ask foreign leaders to investigate political opponents — and two-thirds say that action is inappropriate. … Among those opposing impeachment, 57 percent say nothing […] Read more »