The latest Des Moines Register poll was released this weekend, and it shows South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg leading Sen. Elizabeth Warren, former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders in Iowa. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew digs into this poll and discusses […] Read more »
The least useful question in impeachment coverage
The only thing less reliable than the media’s ability to predict presidential nominees months in advance of the first primary votes may be the infamous question “Did it move the needle?” … It is not as if we lack for credible polling, which are a wee bit more accurate than […] Read more »
70% of Americans say Trump’s actions tied to Ukraine were wrong
An overwhelming 70% of Americans think President Donald Trump’s request to a foreign leader to investigate his political rival, which sits at the heart of the House of Representatives’ impeachment inquiry, was wrong, a new ABC News/Ipsos poll finds. CONT. Kendall Karson, ABC News Get a notification by email when […] Read more »
Members of both parties see impeachment as a political winner in 2020, new Iowa poll finds
As impeachment hearings play out on Capitol Hill, Iowans on both sides of the political spectrum see the inquiry as a boost to their party’s chances of winning the general election next November, according to a new CNN/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll. CONT. Terence Burlij, CNN Read more »
This Week in Impeachment: Why Can’t Republicans Agree on What Happened with Ukraine?
According to a durable truism of American politics, Republicans find it much easier than Democrats to unite around a single political message. Not all nuggets of conventional wisdom are reliably accurate, but this one has substantial truth behind it: the collective self-definition of the Republican Party as the agent of […] Read more »
In a battleground town, sharp divisions over impeachment but few changed minds
NAZARETH, Pa. — This is a town capable of changing its mind. A white working-class Democratic stronghold in the green hills of Pennsylvania Dutch country, Nazareth voted twice for Barack Obama before flipping to Donald Trump in 2016 and helping to deliver him the state — and the White House. […] Read more »