The day the impeachment trial began, data made clear how it was likely to end

… The Trump impeachment comes at a moment when views of the president by party and congressional partisanship have never been further apart. To be removed from office (convicted on the charges of impeachment), Trump would need to see some 20 Republican senators vote against him. With Republican voters strongly […] Read more »

The deep electoral roots of the Senate’s impeachment standoff

The virtually lockstep Republican defense of President Donald Trump so far during his impeachment trial marks a new milestone in the Senate’s long-term evolution into a more partisan and regimented institution that demands unwavering party loyalty and punishes the freewheeling independence that characterized the great legislators through the body’s history. […] Read more »

The Sanders Surge

In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew assesses Sen. Bernie Sanders’s improvement in state and national polls just one week before the Iowa caucuses. They also debate whether reporting on former National Security Advisor John Bolton’s new book will pressure Republican senators to call witnesses in President […] Read more »

Fox News Poll: Record economy ratings, as half say Senate should remove Trump

Voters give the economy its best ratings in nearly two decades in the latest Fox News Poll — and credit President Trump. And yet as his impeachment trial begins, Trump’s job approval holds steady, while half say the Senate should remove him from office. CONT. Dana Blanton, Fox News Read more »

Americans still divided on Trump’s removal from office, but a strong economy is boosting his approval rating, Post-ABC poll finds

President Trump’s approval rating has climbed to match the highest of his presidency, boosted by majority approval of his economic stewardship even as Americans remain deeply divided on whether the Senate should remove him from office, according to a Washington Post-ABC News poll. CONT. Scott Clement, Washington Post Read more »