You do not need a statistical model to know that Donald J. Trump is in a lot of trouble. His chances were already in jeopardy heading into the second presidential debate Sunday. Hillary Clinton’s lead has grown steadily over the last two weeks, and she was ahead by five to […] Read more »
Will The Trump Tape Have A Bigger Effect On The Race Than Past Controversies?
… The response to the Trump tape suggests that we might be seeing a real change in the political landscape. “Game change” moments are few and far between, and Hillary Clinton was already leading Trump pretty comfortably in national and swing state polls. But what might make the Trump tape […] Read more »
Trump: So Now What?
A few points on the unfolding drama: 1. The virtually unanimous opinion of the news media is that Trump has suffered catastrophic damage due to the release of the Access Hollywood tape. This may well be correct! But media interpretations of breaking news events like this are much more likely […] Read more »
The Misleading ABC/Washington Post Poll on Hillary Clinton’s Emails
According to the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, a majority of Americans disapprove of the FBI’s recommendation not to charge Hillary Clinton with a crime over her handling of emails while she was secretary of state. But the people who designed the poll chose not to ask about the issue […] Read more »
56% of Americans disapprove of FBI decision to exonerate Hillary Clinton
A majority of Americans reject the FBI’s recommendation against charging Hillary Clinton with a crime for her State Department e-mail practices and say the issue raises concerns about how she might perform her presidential duties, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll. CONT. Scott Clement, Washington Post Read more »
Majority Disapprove of Decision Not to Charge Clinton on Emails
A majority of Americans disapprove of the FBI’s recommendation not to charge Hillary Clinton with a crime over her handling of email while secretary of state, and a similar number in a new ABC News/Washington Post poll say the issue leaves them worried about how she would handle her responsibilities […] Read more »