After a cacophonous two weeks of political news, a new sound has begun to emerge from Washington: the word “impeachment.” … In a perfect world, we’d have data on hundreds of presidents, a few dozen of whom had been impeached. That would let us statistically identify the various factors that […] Read more »
Nation Tracker poll: Core Trump supporters dig in, while others grow nervous
The ranks of President Trump’s strongest backers are a bit smaller today than when we last checked in with the Nation Tracker, as the weight of the FBI investigation appears to be taking a toll, and Americans’ optimism and confidence in his presidency have slipped. Meanwhile, the ranks of his […] Read more »
For Democrats, special elections may be preview of 2018 campaigns
Democrats are heading into the homestretch of three special elections over the next month amid a national frenzy over the investigation into the possible connections of President Trump’s 2016 campaign and Russian interference in the election. Yet in all three races, Democrats have made a tactical decision not to turn […] Read more »
Trump turmoil is spreading far beyond Washington to state and local races
As a cascade of controversies consumes the White House, anxiety is rising among Republicans well beyond the Beltway that President Trump’s troubles could take a severe toll on the party heading into next year’s midterm elections and beyond. With a near-daily string of new scandals and unfavorable headlines — including […] Read more »
Trump Will Go When the Conservative Media Say It’s Time to Go (Probably Never)
Donald Trump’s presidency is barely four months old, but the events of the past week or so have seemed so explosively damaging to his position in the eyes of many observers that I spent part of my Tuesday morning on the phone with an Ottawa radio show explaining to Canadian […] Read more »
Finance Elite in Vegas: Long Live Trump! Or Pence. Whichever
As Donald Trump’s ballooning scandals sent stocks tumbling Wednesday, hedge fund managers gathered at the Bellagio in Las Vegas for one of the industry’s most popular conferences. … Many attendees this year stand to profit if Trump fulfills his promise to slash taxes and Wall Street regulation. So why weren’t […] Read more »