The entire political world is watching Alabama’s Senate race, but what happens Tuesday is anybody’s guess. The highly unusual nature of the election, along with the difficulty faced by pollsters, has made the race murkier than a cypress swamp. Recent polls show Republican Roy Moore leading Democrat Doug Jones by […] Read more »
Pollsters throw predictions out the window in Alabama race
Who’s leading in Tuesday’s special Senate election in Alabama? The race is so peculiar and has so many variables that some pollsters are reluctant to say. Rather than put out a single result that could be viewed as a projection in the race between Democrat Doug Jones and Republican Roy […] Read more »
Alabama Special Election Takes Place in One of the Reddest States
… According to Gallup data from the first half of 2017, only a handful of states have a greater Republican edge than Alabama — consistent with what Gallup found in 2016. Half of the state’s residents (50%) identify as Republicans or lean toward the Republican Party, while a third identify […] Read more »
Up for Grabs: Turnout Big Question in Alabama Senate Race
Slight differences in turnout could change the outcome of tomorrow’s special U.S. Senate election in Alabama. According to the Monmouth University Poll , a standard midterm turnout model gives Republican Roy Moore a slight advantage. A higher, although less likely, near-presidential election turnout would give Democrat Doug Jones a slim […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Enthused Democrats give Jones lead over Moore in Alabama
Democrat Doug Jones holds a 10-point lead over Republican Roy Moore among likely voters in deep red Alabama. Greater party loyalty plus higher interest in the election among Democrats combined with more enthusiasm among Jones supporters gives him the advantage in the race to fill the U.S. Senate seat previously […] Read more »
Roy Moore’s Alabama
… I have closely studied Winston County history and have long been proud of my ancestral ties. I wanted to explore whether traditional Republicanism could fully explain how the Old South’s most independent thinkers became Trump zombies willing now to send a plausibly accused pedophile to the Senate rather than […] Read more »