Tuesday night’s special election in South Carolina’s First Congressional District was won by the Republican Mark Sanford, the former South Carolina governor whose political career was imperiled in 2009 after he disclosed an extramarital affair. As we almost always say about special elections, the race probably does not tell us […] Read more »
After Mark Sanford’s win, embarrassed pollsters go back to the drawing board
Mark Sanford is heading off to Washington DC, while pollsters are heading back to their workshops. His victory by 9pt over Elizabeth Colbert Busch in South Carolina’s first district special election was surprisingly large. The last two public polls from Public Policy Polling (PPP) and Red Racing Horses (RRH) had […] Read more »
South Carolina Special Election Won’t Tell Much About 2014
Here’s a prediction: If not on Tuesday night, then certainly by Wednesday and maybe even through Thursday or beyond, one party will be crowing that its victory in the special election for now-Sen. Tim Scott’s former seat in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District is a sign that it is doing […] Read more »
Why It’s Difficult to Predict the Outcome of Sanford vs. Colbert Busch
Presidential elections are relatively easy to analyze. The economic fundamentals provide an early handicap of the outcome, and by the end the countless polls are so accurate that you often need to try to get presidential elections wrong, as hopeful partisans do. A special congressional election with two unusual candidates—in […] Read more »
Yes, Mark Sanford really has a chance to beat Elizabeth Colbert Busch
Republican Mark Sanford has closed the gap with Democrat Elizabeth Colbert Busch in the South Carolina first district special election to take place on Tuesday. … It’s not as if voters all of a sudden like Sanford, the former South Carolina Governor who is most well known nationally for cheating […] Read more »
Sanford vs. Colbert Busch: A Very ‘Special’ Election
A former Republican governor of a deeply Republican state is running for a deeply Republican U.S. House seat, but he is best known for claiming to be walking the Appalachian Trail while he was actually visiting his mistress in Argentina, and he has a court date two days after next […] Read more »