Core Groups Hold Steady for Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton

Donald J. Trump won the South Carolina Republican primary with a strong showing among his core supporters — men, moderate conservatives, those without college degrees and older voters. … Hillary Clinton patched together a winning coalition in the Nevada caucuses of women, older voters, African-Americans, college graduates and members of […] Read more »

What We Learned From Nevada and South Carolina

1) Hillary firewall holds; Bernie hits his ceiling Despite a last-minute surge of “Bern-mentum” and weakening support among Latinos, Hillary Clinton put up a strong showing at the Nevada caucuses on Saturday thanks in part to strong support from African-Americans and older voters. … 2) Trump wins big and is […] Read more »

How Marco Rubio edged out Ted Cruz for second in S.C. (hint: Nikki Haley helped)

In South Carolina, Marco Rubio barely eclipsed Ted Cruz for second place, beating him by less than two-tenths of a percentage point with almost all votes tallied. The result confirms a late surge in polling for Rubio, and the network exit poll shows it was fueled by the upper-class pragmatists […] Read more »

Outsider Status Lifts Trump in SC; Clinton Gets an Obama Boost in NV

Demand for an outsider and vast support for a ban on Muslims entering the country helped Donald Trump to victory in the South Carolina Republican primary. He was pulled back, all the same, by values voters and strong conservatives – setting the stage for epic battles ahead. Hillary Clinton, for […] Read more »