In one way, Maine offered the most interesting results of the night, and not only because of who appears to have won some of the party nominations for governor and Congress. The Pine Tree State became the first state in modern U.S. history to use ranked-choice voting (also known as […] Read more »
Republicans Absorb New Lesson: Cross President Trump at Their Peril
President Trump wasn’t on the ballot or even stateside for Tuesday’s primary elections in Virginia and South Carolina. But he loomed over both states, just as he has in nearly every nominating contest this year, underscoring how the Republican Party has become the party of Trump and that its politicians […] Read more »
In Both Parties, Primary Voters Have Trump On Their Minds
… One might expect that the population of wealthy, well-educated, professional, politically-connected Republicans who reside within the Washington suburbs would render northern Virginia about as promising a place as anywhere in the country to find a GOP electorate that was relatively skeptical of Trump and Trumpism. But there’s little trace […] Read more »
Mark Sanford’s primary problem shows Donald Trump’s vice grip on the GOP
Nine years ago, then-South Carolina Republican Gov. Mark Sanford’s political career seemed to disappear along the Appalachian Trail. Sanford was able to resurrect his political life with a successful bid for Congress from South Carolina’s First District, even after it was discovered that his trail trip was actually an extramarital […] Read more »
In the Battle for the House, the 2016 Presidential Results Don’t Tell the Whole Tale
… In this piece, I hope to outline the couple of significant choices I’ve made in my House model that stand in contrast to other sites and election handicappers, and show a behind-the-curtain peek at some opportunities to improve the way we judge a race. CONT. Noah Rudnick, Sabato’s Crystal […] Read more »
GA-06: Why Handel’s Win Isn’t a Disaster for Democrats
It’s a devastating psychological blow for a party to spend over $30 million on a House special election and still lose. For Democrats, Jon Ossoff’s defeat to Karen Handel stings, and the blame game is already raging: “Why did Ossoff run such a bland campaign? Why didn’t he take a […] Read more »