As Hillary Clinton begins her 2016 campaign, one of the big questions around her is the size and shape of her base. If she makes it to the general election, how will her supporters compare with those of President Barack Obama or her husband, former President Bill Clinton? CONT. Dante […] Read more »
Clinton’s performance among white voters is very opponent-specific
The decline in support for Democrats in the South and among white (mostly working-class) voters has been well-documented. We’ve documented it ourselves: Here’s the South turning red; here’s non-college-graduate whites moving right. Ever since she declared that she might declare for president, there has been speculation that Hillary Clinton (D) […] Read more »
Politicians Can’t Ignore Their Opponents’ Perspective
… Bouncing back from the past six years will be challenging for Democrats. While Republicans have some profound demographic problems that will make presidential races and Senate contests in certain states more challenging than they would like, Democrats now have virtual no-fly zones in some parts of the country; the […] Read more »
No New Diversity in GOP’s Newly Won Districts
House Republicans had a good midterm election, giving them the biggest majority they’ve held since the 1920s and — coupled with the GOP’s new Senate majority — prompting some in Washington to talk about a more productive 114th Congress. But as the Republicans have expanded their territory, there’s a curious […] Read more »
How the Democrats lost: The failed ground game
The combined Democratic campaign placed a large portion of its 2014 success on the premise that they would use a massive investment in technology, grassroots strategy, and boots on the ground to reprise the Obama urban coalition of minorities and younger voters. It failed miserably, and Democrats around the nation […] Read more »
The United States of Unease
… For the past month, CityLab has reported results from the Atlantic Media/Siemens State of the City poll, which explored how Americans living in urban, suburban, and rural areas rate their communities on all the key components of daily life, from education, transportation and safety to the environment and culture. […] Read more »