Democrats get dyspeptic trying to understand why, despite the large majorities of Americans who favor specific gun control laws, Congress has done nothing. But the answer to that conundrum also explains why Hillary Clinton felt free to propose stronger gun controls than Bernie Sanders has. CONT. Marc Ambinder, FiveThirtyEight Read more »
Urban Resurgence Is A Double-Edged Sword For Democrats
For the first time in the post-World War II era, cities are growing at about the same rate as their suburbs, which for decades grew at a much faster clip. That’s good news for Democrats (especially Hillary Clinton) nationally: Their party’s recent Electoral College victories have been fueled by huge […] Read more »
Why the GOP Should Worry About Hillary Clinton’s Poll Numbers
With the 2016 general election a little less than 16 months away, key polling data for Hillary Clinton shows that her numbers look a lot like President Barack Obama’s in 2012 — and could be bad news for Republicans. The American Communities Project took the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal […] Read more »
2016’s Electoral Terrain Looks a Lot Like 2012
There’s a long list of factors that ultimately decide elections, from candidates to issues, but the electoral terrain ranks near the top. Looking at the 2016 presidential race, three types of counties and three big questions about them will be crucial. CONT. Dante Chinni, Wall Street Journal Read more »
Republican Areas of Country Getting More Conservative
Poll numbers show that while the nation has grown more politically “liberal” overall since 2008, as we noted here recently, some places with strong Republican voting tendencies have moved in the opposite direction, becoming more “conservative.” … The growing divides highlight the challenge Republican candidates may have in winning swing […] Read more »
The Rural America Divide
… On trade, the Affordable Care Act and same-sex marriage, rural America has different opinions than those who live in urban and suburban areas, according to polling data. And on each of those issues, the news out of Washington over the past few days has signaled a negative shift. CONT. […] Read more »