Hillary Clinton’s path to the White House relies on reassembling the winning Obama coalition of minority voters and women, but her campaign is vying for a demographic long out of reach for Democrats—college-educated whites—that could reshape the map of U.S. swing states this year. For decades, white voters with at […] Read more »
Growing Urban-Rural Split Provides Republicans With Down-Ballot Advantages
The 2012 election provided two powerful reminders about the electoral implications of overly-concentrated Democratic voters. First, the Republicans held their U.S. House majority, won in 2010, despite the fact that the Democratic candidates in the 435 House districts received more votes than their Republican opponents. Second, these House results were […] Read more »
These two maps are incredibly revealing about who’s voting for Trump, and why
In a detailed analysis of the geography of Donald Trump’s vote, Neil Irwin and Josh Katz of the New York Times recently wrote that geographic pockets of unhyphenated Americans — whites who define their ancestry to be “American” rather than a specific European heritage — “turn out to be the […] Read more »
Holiday Shopping Habits Across Red and Blue America
Here’s a political note this Christmas season: Not only do liberals and conservatives think differently and vote differently – they shop differently, too. Chuck Todd, NBC News Read more »
The American Economic Divide
The political divide in the United States is being matched, and possibly driven, by the economic divide. Meet the Press Read more »
Democrats Hold Big Edge in General Election Geography
You can tell a lot about the Democratic and Republican electorates by looking at who’s planning to vote in next year’s primaries and caucuses. And when you look at where those people live a few points emerge: One, the geography of Democratic and Republican primary voters is sharply different and […] Read more »