A number of analyses of the Ohio special election results — including the one offered by your humble blogger earlier today — focused on the outsize energy in the suburbs of Columbus, where Democrat Danny O’Connor ran up large vote totals, something that bodes well for Democratic chances this fall. […] Read more »
Was the Midwestern ‘Red Shift’ More Pro-Trump or Anti-Hillary? The Answer Matters a Lot for 2018
… In general, one of the most challenging aspects of analyzing events in real time is distinguishing temporary blips from long-term trends. Popular pundits and other media figures often tend to overstate the degree to which immediate events portend long-term patterns; as I noted once in another context, “There’s a […] Read more »
There are absolutely two Americas. Sometimes in the same state.
A tale of two Virginia districts explains why the geographic, demographic and cultural chasm between the parties in the House of Representatives is about to grow much wider — with ominous implications for America’s escalating political tensions. In the affluent, diverse, 10th Congressional District of Virginia in the Washington suburbs, […] Read more »
Jon Tester and Matt Rosendale are fighting over who’s the ‘real’ Montanan. Here’s how that affects voters.
Recently, President Trump visited Montana to campaign against U.S. Sen. Jon Tester — hoping to help Tester’s Republican challenger Matt Rosendale this November. … The Tester campaign has hammered on the fact that Rosendale is a native of Maryland — and would rather develop than protect Montana’s public lands. Rosendale’s […] Read more »
How Can Size of Community Still Matter?
Once upon a time (actually about 50 years ago) when I started doing research on social psychological differences between urban and rural people, many authorities dismissed the whole question as out of date. Sure, city-country cultural differences were once vast and important, but in the modern era of interstate highways, […] Read more »
Texas Residents’ Views on State and National Health Policy Priorities
Texas, the nation’s second most-populous state, has a diverse population in terms of race, ethnicity, immigration status, income, and geography. One of 17 states that did not expand Medicaid under the Affordable Care Act, Texas also has the largest number of uninsured residents among U.S. states. In a new survey, […] Read more »