Trump Hits a Wall Within the GOP; His Critics Back a Convention Fight

Donald Trump’s facing a wall within his party, with Republicans who don’t currently support him far more apt to prefer Ted Cruz or Marco Rubio in a two-way race — or even to favor a contested convention to block Trump’s nomination. CONT. Gary Langer, ABC News Read more »

State of election markets

Donald Trump dropped from almost certain to highly likely this week on the strength of (1) Mitt Romney openly pushing to a brokered convention and (2) his surprising loss in Maine (coupled with closer than expected wins in Kentucky and Louisiana). CONT. David Rothschild, PredictWise Read more »

Battleground Tracker online poll: Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton lead in Michigan

Donald Trump holds the lead heading into the final days before the Michigan primary, looking to extend his overall delegate lead after a string of Super Tuesday wins. Trump is at 39 percent, Ted Cruz is in second place at 24 percent and Marco Rubio and John Kasich neck-and-neck for […] Read more »

Trump is closer to what most Republicans believe than the ‘establishment’ candidates are

On Super Tuesday, Donald Trump continued his surprise series of wins, gaining seven out of the 11 states in play that day. In response, many are asking: Why have establishment candidates had such a hard time in this year’s Republican nomination contest? … To investigate, we have teamed up with […] Read more »