… In a polarized country, energizing the base of the party is a prerequisite to winning the nomination, if not the general election. More so than in some past campaigns, however, the effect of all this seems to be accentuating the gap between left and right, between Democrats and Republicans, […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: Cruz, Trump remain top GOP picks in Iowa
Ted Cruz continues to hold an edge over Donald Trump in the GOP nomination race in Iowa, according to the latest Fox News poll of likely Republican caucus-goers. CONT. Dana Blanton, Fox News Read more »
Jeb Bush’s Image Among Republicans Deteriorates
Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush’s image among Republicans has steadily worsened over the past 5 ½ months. His current net favorable rating of -1 (44% favorable, 45% unfavorable) among Republicans is significantly lower than his +27 (54% favorable, 27% unfavorable) rating in mid-July. CONT. Frank Newport, Gallup Read more »
Trump Leads, But When It Comes To Second Choice, Cruz Is On Top
While the media has been largely consumed by examining the GOP front-runner, asking about second choices is the key to understanding how the race will likely develop once candidates drop in viability or drop out altogether. In other words, who stands to topple Donald Trump once the field narrows? CONT. […] Read more »
Trump, Cruz, and a Cage Fight
… One way of looking at the GOP nomination fight is to think of three lanes or brackets: a populist lane—obviously dominated by Trump—a conservative lane, and a conventional/moderate lane (the libertarian lane that Rand Paul was banking on failed to emerge). CONT. Charlie Cook Read more »
California: Cruz surges to top in new Field Poll
Texas Sen. Ted Cruz’s growing support among California’s hard-core conservatives and evangelical voters has pushed him out in front of Donald Trump among likely voters in the state’s June 7 Republican presidential primary, a new Field Poll shows. CONT. John Wildermuth, San Francisco Chronicle Read more »