Iowa: At Last

As the 2016 presidential race officially begins, both party contests are in a place that we, and many others, did not expect them to be. On the Democratic side, frontrunner Hillary Clinton faces a stern challenge from a stronger-than-expected foe, Bernie Sanders. And the Republicans could be on the verge […] Read more »

RAND 2016 Presidential Election Panel Survey

The RAND Corporation kicked off its 2016 RAND Presidential Election Panel Survey (PEPS) with an initial survey covering late December 2015 and early January 2016, and will continue surveying through the months leading up to the presidential election in November. … The survey confirms Donald Trump (the favorite of 38 […] Read more »

For Trump and His Rivals, The Race to Iowa Is Strictly a Numbers Game

… Over the past two weeks, six polls released nation­ally, and in Iowa and New Hampshire—the critical first two states—show Trump’s support converging with noticeably little variation at around one-third of the Republican vote. Each of those polls shows Trump leading his rivals. Four polls released Tuesday morning also largely […] Read more »

As first voting nears, Trump seems stronger

One week before the first votes of the 2016 campaign are cast, Donald Trump has solidified his standing nationally, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll. Republicans see Trump as strongest candidate on major issues and by far the most electable in the large field of GOP hopefuls. CONT. […] Read more »